Oct 10, 2012, 12:27 PM EDT
Each week during the 2012 season, we’re hitting up some of the most
knowledgeable people on the Internet when it comes to the Eagles’ opponent that particular Sunday. Today we are pleased to have Justin Rogers, Lions beat reporter for MLive.com, which serves the entire state of Michigan.
Kulp: There probably aren’t many prognosticators who picked the Lions to be 1-3 at this point in the season — and it very easily could have been 0-4 — but that’s where they are after three consecutive losses against San Francisco, Tennessee, and Minnesota. What would you say has been the biggest reason behind their slow start?
Justin Rogers: It’s easy to point to special teams as the biggest reason for the Lions’ slow start. There have been 10 touchdown returns on kickoffs and punts around the league and Detroit is responsible for four. You eliminate those and the Lions could easily be 3-1 right now. But even if you subtract the special teams blunders from the equation, something hasn’t been quite right. To me, the area that is the biggest concern is the slow starts on offense. Detroit has put together some long drives in the first halves of their four games, but are consistently stalling out before reaching the end zone. The Lions have just one first half touchdown as opposed to nine field goal attempts and four interceptions. They have been trailing at the half of each of those contests.
Clearly Calvin Johnson has become the most dominant wide receiver in the league. He’s currently averaging 105 yards per game for the second year in a row, and has hauled in 12 or more touchdown catches three of the past four seasons. Having watched him play on a weekly basis, where would you rank Calvin Johnson among the most dominant players at any position in the NFL?
It’s a difficult question to answer, but let’s put it this way, teams design entire game plans around stopping Johnson. Look back at the film from any Lions’ game this season and you’ll see consistent two high safety looks, combined often with man-press coverage and linebacker help underneath. He never sees fewer than two defenders, and often sees some combination of three, yet he still continues to produce. That is the definition of dominance. Where he ranks compared to a Patrick Willis, J.J. Watt, Aaron Rodgers or Arian Foster, it’s tough to say, but I’m comfortable saying Johnson is in the top 10.
After throwing 41 touchdowns a season ago, Matthew Stafford has just three so far in 2011 — none to Calvin Johnson. You wrote last week that defenses have only used man coverage on five of Detroit’s 296 snaps, employing a bend-don’t-break strategy that forces Stafford to nickel and dime his way down the field. Given the limitations of their running game and other options at receiver, is their offense equipped for those long drives?
It’s equipped to do it, and they have done it, but they’re not executing the full length of the field. It’s not one person’s fault. On one drive it will be a missed block, on another a bad throw, another a receiver will put a ball on the ground. The Lions have plenty of offensive weapons, but they are falling victim to the bend-don’t-break style because of mental and physical mistakes. The one area where the Lions need to be better is running the ball against six-man boxes. If they can’t keep the opposition honest by moving the ball against minimum defenders up front, they’ll never be able to play to their strengths in the passing game, particularly looking for Johnson deep after a safety is forced to commit to helping stop the run.
A couple weeks back, your colleague Anwar Richardson noted that the Lions’ secondary charted as one of the league’s best despite rampant injuries. Following an awful performance against Tennessee in Week 3 (378 yards, two TD over 60 yards), they rebounded the next week at Minnesota (111 yards, zero TD), and Detroit still ranks 10th at 213 YPG. How have they managed, and what is the state of the secondary after their bye?
They’ve managed, but the stats are deceptive. The return of cornerback Chris Houston has been a big boost. He’s played very well in two games, making several key tackles and breaking up a handful of passes. On the other side, rookie Bill Bentley is being attacked by opposing quarterbacks and he’s been inconsistent, particularly locating the football. He drew two pass interference calls over 20 yards in the loss to the Vikings.
The safeties have been the biggest concern. Veteran Erik Coleman has been decent, but the absence of Louis Delmas has been devastating. He’s finally practicing after his knee surgery and could be back this week after missing the first four games, the entire preseason and most of training camp, so it’s unknown what kind of shape he’ll be in.
One thing is for certain, even though the group hasn’t given up big yardage, opposing quarterbacks have been very efficient. A lot of that is quick, short passes, but it’s been effective, so there’s no reason to stop. This group also doesn’t have an interception. They’re only one of two teams with that distinction.
There has been a lot of talk in Philadelphia about the wide 9 defensive front ever since Jim Washburn brought the look here last season. It’s been very successful in terms of rushing the passer, producing 46 sacks from linemen alone in 2011, but often criticized for exposing linebackers, particularly in the running game. How has the wide 9 been received in Detroit?
At first, everyone was excited, because the Lions went from a team with only a handful of sacks to becoming one of the top 10 teams in the league in that department, but the criticisms are similar to those you have mentioned. The aggressiveness of the ends, combined with the defensive tackles shooting single gaps up the middle, has allowed opposing offensive lines to control the direction of the players, opening significant running lanes.
Last year the Lions were one of the worst teams in the league against the run, but have done a decent job this year, shutting down Steven Jackson and Chris Johnson. Neither Adrian Peterson or Frank Gore did a tremendous amount of damage, but that had more to do with a limited amount of carries as opposed to limited success.
The Lions are content as long as they don’t allow any explosive runs, which they define as more than 20 yards. So far, they’ve done well in that department, but LeSean McCoy is on a different level and he could have a big day if the Lions’ lineman and linebackers aren’t sound with their assignments.
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