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The Over/Under on How Many Starts Vick Makes in 2013 Will Surprise You

Aug 28, 2013, 1:59 PM EDT

vick-hat

Some people believe Michael Vick is a very good to great NFL quarterback, some think he’s an overrated, inconsistent, and flawed player. Wherever you happen to fall on that spectrum, there’s one aspect to Vick’s game almost everyone can agree on: he’s injury prone.

Vick is the Eagles’ starting quarterback for now, but even if he continues to play at a high level, folks in the Delaware Valley seem resigned to the fact that he will get injured at some point. It can be a little misleading to say because there are some variables, but it’s also a fact Vick has appeared in 16 games only once during his 10-year career.

We’ve tended to think about it in terms of why it’s good to have Nick Foles around and when the 24 year old will get his opportunity to play, but naturally Vegas has a different spin. What’s the over/under on the number of games Vick will start this year? The line from Bovada.lv might be a bit startling.

Michael Vick – Total games started in the 2013 Regular Season   

Over/Under                               13½

Vick only needs to miss three starts this season to fall under that mark. To put that in perspective, he’s missed at least that many all three years he’s been the starter in Philadelphia.

In 2010, Vick missed two games with a rib injury, then was held out of a meaningless final game with a deep thigh bruise. In 2011, he missed three games due to the ribs again. Last season he wasn’t cleared to return from a concussion until five contests had gone by, then Andy Reid stuck decided to stick with Foles.

The possibility that Foles could take over and play well enough not to get bounced out of the lineup upon Vick’s recovery has to play into this line as well.

Of course, while Vick has been particularly injury prone during his time with the Eagles, he would have reached the over most of his years in Atlanta. Only once out of five years as the Falcons’ starter did he miss more than one game in a single season, indicating the angle has been played up a bit.

That said, Vick’s style at times can be reckless, and he often takes unnecessary hits from holding on to the ball too long, so it’s no wonder everyone expects him to get hurt. I think when you add the point that Foles has looked good too and might have a chance to seize the job if he can get in there for a game or two, you almost have to go with the under here.

  1. pefs - Aug 28, 2013 at 2:12 PM

    I’ll put the over under at 9…

    Reply
  2. Scott - Aug 28, 2013 at 2:24 PM

    Even in the preseason I still see him diving headfirst.

    No way he changes that now and no way he plays 13 games.

    Reply
  3. shale0 - Aug 28, 2013 at 2:42 PM

    He’s older and more reckless now. Bad combination for any football player, but especially a running QB on a bad team. I’d put the O/U at 11.5 at the most.

    Reply
  4. Chris - Aug 28, 2013 at 4:09 PM

    Who set that O/U, Bleeding Green Nation?

    Reply
  5. psudrozz - Aug 28, 2013 at 4:19 PM

    o/u too high.

    i’d go with 8.5.

    prob still take the under.

    Reply
  6. Kunk - Aug 28, 2013 at 4:41 PM

    Ha, like he’s gonna last that long. What’s the over/under on Vick getting injured in week 1? I say yes.

    Reply
  7. David Breslin - Aug 28, 2013 at 5:21 PM

    You guys setting the over/under at 9, 11, etc… Instead of making your big bad internet comment, go place your bet in Vegas and post a picture of your big bet. Lets see if you actually believe what you are saying. I think the over/under is set just right, and I am hoping for the over as a fan.

    Reply
  8. hitnrun - Aug 29, 2013 at 8:53 AM

    It’s not worth re-opening my Bovada account in August (I’m a playoff better), but I think they flubbed that one.

    13 1/2 is a bit high for Vick in a vacuum IMO, but I trust the smart money that it’s not unrealistic.

    However, I don’t think it fully takes into account the possibility that Foles takes the job from him. Once Vick is out, for whatever reason, Kelly is not going to be looking for excuses to put him back in. Foles will probably have to play bench-worthy football, and if Vick is still hurt when he does Barkley might get a shot as well.

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